RISCONAPOSTOLUS

Evidence

Negative Findings

Results that did not reach the target, or met a criterion on one measure and not on another. They stay in the record with the same weight as the results that passed.

Findings from a harness are written by the session that ran it and take their numbers from its audit document.

Below the target or not supported · 4

5-1 · Attachment review

The attached code uses a mock pocket, fixed candidates and fragment rules. It does not establish measured affinity or synthesisability.

8-1 · Synthetic harness · synth8

At every privacy budget tested the baseline generator failed the preservation rule: its lowest endpoint was 34.1%, 82.9%, 92.5%, 91.4% at epsilon 1, 4, 8, 16.

18-2 · Attachment review

The attached code checks structured features and names two models. It does not establish that an image model or an independent second model was run.

19-1 · Published cases

On published cases the reported gene was in the top five in 172 of 1,874 (9.18%), against a target of 90%.

Differs by measure · 17

8-1 · Synthetic harness · synth8

The baseline generator passed the empirical privacy gate and kept 3 of 4 endpoints at or above the threshold, but biomarker rank agreement stayed at 91.4%. One failing endpoint blocks the release.

18-2 · Synthetic harness · dispense18

Gate B alone would have passed 220 of 600 items from outside the gallery; the imprint and attribute checks of Gate A stopped them. A copy from outside the gallery that carries the same imprint is not something this software claims to detect.

18-2 · Synthetic harness · dispense18

The price of zero observed misses is review load: 1,141 of 3,000 correct fills went to forced review, and products locked out because of look-alike neighbours are always reviewed.

18-2 · Synthetic harness · dispense18

Drift detection has a delay. Under a mild change the monitor latched at case 796 after a change at 300, with 253 automatic passes in between and 0 wrong fills among them; the bound of the second gate is not guaranteed in that interval.

19-1 · Public-record audit · acmg19

Specificity is high and sensitivity is not. On held-out genes 52.06% of expert-pathogenic variants were called pathogenic or likely pathogenic, and the causal gene was reported for 58 of 120 simulated patients (48.33%).

19-1 · Public-record audit · acmg19

Of the causal variants placed in held-out simulated patients, 53 stayed at uncertain significance (44 likely pathogenic, 35 pathogenic). A variant left uncertain cannot support a diagnosis. Across all genes the misses are mostly missense and other non-truncating variants.

19-1 · Public-record audit · acmg19

A language-model curator claimed criteria the ledger does not support: 23 were blocked when it could add what it remembered, 7 when it was given the ledger only. For 12 of the first group the ledger held support and the citation was incomplete.

19-1 · Public-record audit · acmg19

The literature step changed few classifications. On the held-out sample, pathogenic missense variants called pathogenic or likely pathogenic rose from 16 to 18 of 36, and 0 of 24 uncertain or benign variants were called pathogenic afterwards.

16-2 · Synthetic harness · cog16

One of 2 replicate runs reached 95.5% and missed the lower-bound and stratum gates. The margin over the target is small.

16-2 · Synthetic harness · cog16

The rate depends on the verdict definition: on the same trajectories it ranges from 81.1% to 97.2% as the window, deadline and tolerated excursion change.

16-2 · Synthetic harness · cog16

Of 14 distribution-shift scenarios, 5 stayed at or above the target and 3 cleared the lower bound. The lowest, SH_ACUTE_DROP, reached 36.0%.

16-2 · Synthetic harness · cog16

An abrupt-change detector raises the acute-drop scenario from 36.0% to 58.6% but lowers the base cohort to 95.6%. It is not part of the primary policy.

16-3 · Synthetic harness · cog16

Conditions below the target: ZERO_ADAPTATION_B_TO_A, SPEECH_UNSEEN_UNIT, EFFECT_SCALE_0.5, EFFECT_SCALE_0.75. Without harmonisation one direction misses it, and speech recorded under an unseen condition misses it.

16-3 · Synthetic harness · cog16

Across 10 evaluations on freshly drawn cohorts, 9 reached the target and 7 kept the lower bound above it. The minimum was 0.881.

12-1 · Synthetic harness · prevent12

Holding recall at the target costs 46.1 alerts per 100 patient-months, with episode-level precision of 0.079.

12-1 · Synthetic harness · prevent12

The subgroup audit returned GAP_EXCEEDS_TOLERANCE: recall differs between groups by more than the set tolerance.

12-3 · Synthetic harness · prevent12

The certified threshold does not hold at every assumed prevalence: the status is NOT_CERTIFIED at 0.05 and NOT_CERTIFIED at 0.02.

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